Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.202202 0.231945 0.265376 0.305890 0.353870 0.409132 0.477963
2025-11-09 0.154273 0.192686 0.240448 0.304884 0.390588 0.502149 0.660821
2025-11-16 0.126279 0.167384 0.222284 0.302368 0.418571 0.584842 0.847857
2025-11-23 0.106953 0.148377 0.206858 0.297600 0.438870 0.657491 1.036151
2025-11-30 0.096085 0.138687 0.201826 0.305349 0.477169 0.763142 1.303193
2025-12-07 0.084738 0.126286 0.190348 0.300281 0.492811 0.833853 1.528591
2025-12-14 0.076997 0.118172 0.184019 0.301938 0.519268 0.928116 1.825681
2025-12-21 0.070266 0.110687 0.177475 0.301773 0.541822 1.019415 2.145163
2025-12-28 0.065844 0.106389 0.175557 0.309295 0.579979 1.150167 2.597463
2026-01-04 0.061558 0.101766 0.172373 0.313750 0.612617 1.276937 3.087560
2026-01-11 0.057825 0.097654 0.169521 0.318261 0.646067 1.413779 3.659238
2026-01-18 0.055028 0.094893 0.168776 0.326802 0.689983 1.587126 4.411481
2026-01-25 0.051666 0.090813 0.165167 0.329120 0.721005 1.739346 5.182319
2026-02-01 0.048384 0.086561 0.160750 0.329086 0.746714 1.886133 6.017895
2026-02-08 0.045201 0.082181 0.155558 0.326506 0.765576 2.019834 6.884931
2026-02-15 0.042113 0.077688 0.149629 0.321315 0.776602 2.134144 7.747947
2026-02-22 0.040515 0.076028 0.149463 0.329802 0.826713 2.387570 9.375217
2026-03-01 0.037917 0.072077 0.143922 0.324255 0.836056 2.510438 10.495867
2026-03-08 0.036117 0.069631 0.141436 0.326068 0.867587 2.722211 12.233176
2026-03-15 0.034324 0.067041 0.138354 0.325888 0.893193 2.922710 14.090979
2026-03-22 0.033240 0.065880 0.138420 0.334123 0.947519 3.255996 17.069166
2026-03-29 0.032010 0.064292 0.137316 0.339001 0.992286 3.570736 20.292737
2026-04-05 0.030867 0.062798 0.136280 0.343942 1.038759 3.914706 24.165663